Tropical cyclones have become a pawn in the man-made climate change game. If you ever want to gauge deception and ignorance as a metric, you can find it here. I aim to show the GLOBAL reality of this season in the tropics to counter the propaganda, sadly, on both sides, much more though on the alarmist side. President Trump did not stop the hurricanes this year, as I have seen some social media comments on. In this day and age, I can never tell who is kidding. And the lack of hurricane hits is no more a sign of climate change as years with multiple hits.  I did not use “climate change” as a reason for the Dec 7, 2023 forecast for a season from hell for the U.S for 2024, nor was it used for this years much less forecast than last year ( and of course it wound up well under even that idea)

First of all, and I reviewed this earlier, the centering of the ACTUAL HIGHEST ACE RELATIVE TO AVERAGE this year, wound up about 350 miles east northeast of what we had as our idea. I have stated that the whole numbers game adds up to nothing; it’s who gets hit that really counts. But the numbers game is what everyone focuses on. It’s like pickleball to real tennis to me. So our impact forecast was overdone for the US, unlike last year, which was issued further out. The reason is simple. I thought the congregation of tracks would be further west. Even with that, the amount of damage from non-named storms and the ones offshore to the beaches was quite high. North Carolina had 16 houses fall into the sea. In 2011, when Category 2 Irene hit the NC coast, only 6 houses fell into the sea. So the unnamed storms, one of them that should have been named, did their dirty work this year

Of course, man-made climate change, people would point to that as a sign they are right about sea level rise. And the counter is that they all stayed out at sea, and you build a house on a sand bar, there are bound to be problems.

But look at this chart below and see how you can play the game. Skeptics can say, less than the average, all out at sea. Alarmists say more major hurricanes than average and higher than average ACE/storm. Which, by the way, is where we were in the 1950s, as ACE storm has fallen because we name so many storms now. ACE overall is above normal, but named storm days, Hurricanes, and hurricane days are all below normal

The charts below are National Hurricane Center/Joint Typhoon Warning Center data as tabulated by Colorado State University.

So you can play a game like this, one way or the other, and try to get sound bites, but in the end its much ado about nothing. And that the vast majority of the meteo media talks about the Atlantic, and TRIES TO EQUATE THAT TO CLIMATE CHANGE, it’s the western Pacific that is the Canary in the coal mine and gets no attention unless there is a Super typhoon.

So when we look at the Atlantic with the highest 10 year period ace index wise, it leads to the hysteria over climate change. The Atlantic ACE averages 122.5 per year, so this is an impressive stat as a stand-alone. Problem is the average ACE/storm is over 2 per storm under the 1950s, which means the average storm is weaker. Fewer storms were named in the 1950s, but on average were stronger. So when a dime-sized feedback storm goes wild, the screams of them getting stronger should be muffled by a look at past years ( and adapting our power and impact scale where size matters)

But look at the western Pacific in the 1950s, keeping in mind their average ACE is 2.5 times of the Atlantic

That is nuts

But look at the last 20 years